Model line
UMBC −10.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 87%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
UMBC home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes UMBC a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Binghamton offense vs UMBC defense
| Binghamton O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.1#330 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 50.0#233 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 18.8#312 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 20.9#361 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 41.5#39 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 8.8#130 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 48.7#272 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 50.6#228 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 32.5#253 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 75.3#71 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#340 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
UMBC offense vs Binghamton defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Binghamton D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #33065.1 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #30754.3 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #34813.3 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #12729.4 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #16534.6 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #2588.0 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #8248.8 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #30454.7 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #29535.8 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #19139.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Binghamton
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Maine337 | W 74–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | UMass Lowell306 | L 79–92 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Bryant320 | W 79–67 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Albany330 | L 74–77 |
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
