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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UMBC · #285 · AE · 0–0NJIT · #336 · AE · 0–0Thu, Feb 25 · 7:30 PM ETJoel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center · Newark, NJ
Model line
NJIT −3.4
Win probability
NJIT 64%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
NJIT home
36%Win probability64%

The model makes NJIT a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UMBC offense vs NJIT defense

UMBC OStatNJIT D
66.5#273Tempo#20267.9
54.1#68eFG%#9850.0
14.0#24TOV%#21416.2
24.9#342ORB%#26232.1
34.1#206FT rate#25837.9
6.4#11Block%#2019.0
44.8#336Assist%#18752.6
54.1#842P%#14851.1
36.1#573P%#8032.3
76.0#53FT%—
38.8#1943PA rate#13640.7

NJIT offense vs UMBC defense

NJIT OStatUMBC D
67.9#202Tempo#27366.5
46.7#342eFG%#8149.4
17.1#210TOV%#28615.1
26.2#317ORB%#1825.8
33.2#232FT rate#1225.7
9.0#147Block%#3286.5
45.7#324Assist%#1143.0
47.5#3232P%#8849.6
30.4#3363P%#10432.7
70.5#255FT%—
40.1#1693PA rate#24637.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UMBC

Tue, Mar 17NHoward164L 83–86
Sat, Mar 14HVermont189W 74–59
Tue, Mar 10HUMass Lowell306W 91–69
Sat, Mar 7HNew Hampshire342W 84–69
Tue, Mar 3ANJIT336W 91–52

NJIT

Tue, Mar 10AVermont189L 54–63
Sat, Mar 7HMaine337W 60–58
Tue, Mar 3HUMBC285L 52–91
Sat, Feb 28ABryant320L 52–69
Sat, Feb 21HVermont189L 64–70