Model line
UMBC −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 88%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
UMBC home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes UMBC a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Hampshire offense vs UMBC defense
| New Hampshire O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#235 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 46.7#343 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 16.5#166 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 25.7#328 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 28.5#337 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 11.3#322 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 44.3#341 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 47.4#328 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 30.5#333 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 65.1#359 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#112 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
UMBC offense vs New Hampshire defense
| UMBC O | Stat | New Hampshire D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #23567.2 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #28053.4 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #23315.8 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #3626.9 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #20635.8 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #3515.6 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #6848.0 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #30154.6 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #20234.3 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #26436.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Hampshire
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UMBC285 | L 69–84 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Bryant320 | W 88–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Albany330 | L 61–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Binghamton349 | L 63–65 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Maine337 | L 58–61 |
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
