Model line
Vermont −1.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Vermont 56%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Albany home
56%Win probability44%
The model makes Vermont a 1.5-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs Albany defense
| Vermont O | Stat | Albany D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #31165.6 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #27353.2 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #22915.8 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #27532.4 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #20235.7 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #5511.8 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #29156.4 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #22452.7 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #29936.0 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #13940.6 |
Albany offense vs Vermont defense
| Albany O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#311 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 51.3#180 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 18.5#295 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 32.7#97 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 24.9#364 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 9.4#171 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 48.9#266 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 52.8#134 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 32.6#248 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 65.9#354 | FT% | — |
| 37.6#220 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
Albany
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UMass Lowell306 | L 76–81 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Vermont189 | L 56–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Maine337 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | UMBC285 | L 62–66 |
