Model line
UMBC −10.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 87%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
UMBC home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes UMBC a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maine offense vs UMBC defense
| Maine O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#333 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 49.6#258 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 19.1#326 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 19.7#364 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 38.4#92 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 9.0#144 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 54.4#129 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 51.2#205 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 31.2#315 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 64.3#363 | FT% | — |
| 37.0#230 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
UMBC offense vs Maine defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Maine D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #33364.9 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #13550.6 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #3619.4 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #32334.3 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #14933.9 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #1899.1 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #17752.4 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #29554.5 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #429.3 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #26836.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maine
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NJIT336 | L 58–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UMass Lowell306 | L 56–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Binghamton349 | L 67–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Albany330 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | New Hampshire342 | W 61–58 |
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
