HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

New Hampshire · #342 · AE · 0–0Vermont · #189 · AE · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 7:00 PM ETPatrick Gymnasium · Burlington, VT
Model line
Vermont −15.0
Win probability
Vermont 94%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Vermont home
6%Win probability94%

The model makes Vermont a 15.0-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

New Hampshire offense vs Vermont defense

New Hampshire OStatVermont D
67.2#235Tempo#34864.4
46.7#343eFG%#12350.4
16.5#166TOV%#30514.8
25.7#328ORB%#223.0
28.5#337FT rate#22536.4
11.3#322Block%#2348.5
44.3#341Assist%#7648.3
47.4#3282P%#5448.6
30.5#3333P%#26735.3
65.1#359FT%—
43.1#1123PA rate#12141.2

Vermont offense vs New Hampshire defense

Vermont OStatNew Hampshire D
64.4#348Tempo#23567.2
53.1#103eFG%#28053.4
14.3#36TOV%#23315.8
26.2#319ORB%#3626.9
31.1#280FT rate#20635.8
8.3#86Block%#3515.6
47.9#291Assist%#6848.0
55.7#472P%#30154.6
33.3#2143P%#20234.3
71.9#212FT%—
44.6#773PA rate#26436.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

New Hampshire

Sat, Mar 7AUMBC285L 69–84
Tue, Mar 3HBryant320W 88–83
Sat, Feb 28AAlbany330L 61–84
Thu, Feb 26ABinghamton349L 63–65
Sat, Feb 21HMaine337L 58–61

Vermont

Sat, Mar 14AUMBC285L 59–74
Tue, Mar 10HNJIT336W 63–54
Sat, Mar 7HBryant320W 77–57
Tue, Mar 3HAlbany330W 69–56
Thu, Feb 26HUMass Lowell306W 66–64