Model line
UMBC −8.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 82%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
UMBC home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes UMBC a 8.6-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bryant offense vs UMBC defense
| Bryant O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#344 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 46.9#339 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 20.2#351 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 27.7#276 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 29.4#322 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 8.7#119 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 53.1#163 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 48.7#290 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 30.0#342 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 76.0#50 | FT% | — |
| 47.9#24 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
UMBC offense vs Bryant defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Bryant D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #34464.4 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #25152.7 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #31414.6 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #20031.0 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #13933.5 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #9810.7 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #14951.3 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #18251.8 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #31536.3 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #29335.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bryant
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Vermont189 | L 57–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | New Hampshire342 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NJIT336 | W 69–52 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UMBC285 | L 58–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Binghamton349 | L 67–79 |
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
