Model line
Vermont −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Vermont 62%
Projected tempo
68.4
possessions
Site
Maine home
62%Win probability38%
The model makes Vermont a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs Maine defense
| Vermont O | Stat | Maine D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #33364.9 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #13550.6 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #3619.4 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #32334.3 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #14933.9 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #1899.1 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #17752.4 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #29554.5 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #429.3 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #26836.8 |
Maine offense vs Vermont defense
| Maine O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#333 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 49.6#258 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 19.1#326 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 19.7#364 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 38.4#92 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 9.0#144 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 54.4#129 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 51.2#205 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 31.2#315 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 64.3#363 | FT% | — |
| 37.0#230 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
Maine
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NJIT336 | L 58–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UMass Lowell306 | L 56–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Binghamton349 | L 67–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Albany330 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | New Hampshire342 | W 61–58 |
