Model line
UMBC −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 83%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
UMBC home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes UMBC a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMass Lowell offense vs UMBC defense
| UMass Lowell O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#155 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 49.8#248 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 18.0#272 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 32.7#99 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 34.9#186 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 10.4#269 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 45.4#330 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 50.5#241 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 32.2#273 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 65.7#356 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#336 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
UMBC offense vs UMass Lowell defense
| UMBC O | Stat | UMass Lowell D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #15568.9 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #28553.5 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #32914.2 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #12929.4 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #3428.3 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #2877.6 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #5747.5 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #29454.4 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #22734.6 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #32035.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMass Lowell
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | UMBC285 | L 69–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Albany330 | W 81–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Maine337 | W 67–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UMBC285 | L 60–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Vermont189 | L 64–66 |
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
