Model line
Vermont −2.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Vermont 59%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
New Hampshire home
59%Win probability41%
The model makes Vermont a 2.2-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs New Hampshire defense
| Vermont O | Stat | New Hampshire D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #23567.2 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #28053.4 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #23315.8 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #3626.9 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #20635.8 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #3515.6 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #6848.0 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #30154.6 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #20234.3 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #26436.9 |
New Hampshire offense vs Vermont defense
| New Hampshire O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#235 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 46.7#343 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 16.5#166 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 25.7#328 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 28.5#337 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 11.3#322 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 44.3#341 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 47.4#328 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 30.5#333 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 65.1#359 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#112 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
New Hampshire
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UMBC285 | L 69–84 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Bryant320 | W 88–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Albany330 | L 61–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Binghamton349 | L 63–65 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Maine337 | L 58–61 |
