Model line
Vermont −12.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Vermont 90%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Vermont home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Vermont a 12.2-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMass Lowell offense vs Vermont defense
| UMass Lowell O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#155 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 49.8#248 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 18.0#272 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 32.7#99 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 34.9#186 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 10.4#269 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 45.4#330 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 50.5#241 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 32.2#273 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 65.7#356 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#336 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Vermont offense vs UMass Lowell defense
| Vermont O | Stat | UMass Lowell D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #15568.9 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #28553.5 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #32914.2 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #12929.4 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #3428.3 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #2877.6 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #5747.5 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #29454.4 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #22734.6 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #32035.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMass Lowell
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | UMBC285 | L 69–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Albany330 | W 81–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Maine337 | W 67–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UMBC285 | L 60–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Vermont189 | L 64–66 |
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
