Model line
UMBC −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 88%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
UMBC home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes UMBC a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
NJIT offense vs UMBC defense
| NJIT O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#202 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 46.7#342 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 17.1#210 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 26.2#317 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 33.2#232 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 9.0#147 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 45.7#324 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 47.5#323 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 30.4#336 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 70.5#255 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#169 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
UMBC offense vs NJIT defense
| UMBC O | Stat | NJIT D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #20267.9 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #9850.0 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #21416.2 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #26232.1 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #25837.9 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #2019.0 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #18752.6 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #14851.1 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #8032.3 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #13640.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
NJIT
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | Vermont189 | L 54–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Maine337 | W 60–58 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UMBC285 | L 52–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bryant320 | L 52–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Vermont189 | L 64–70 |
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
