Model line
North Carolina −16.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Carolina 96%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
North Carolina home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes North Carolina a 16.7-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wyoming offense vs North Carolina defense
| Wyoming O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#221 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 51.8#159 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 16.3#158 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 34.1#66 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 35.4#169 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 10.9#298 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 53.8#141 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 53.6#105 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 33.0#234 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 74.3#118 | FT% | — |
| 43.0#114 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
North Carolina offense vs Wyoming defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Wyoming D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #22167.6 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #21752.0 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #17116.8 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #6828.0 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #36047.9 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #3137.0 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #2545.2 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #25753.5 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #10832.8 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #29235.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wyoming
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Wichita St.80 | L 70–74 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UNLV89 | L 70–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | San Jose St.161 | W 88–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Nevada77 | W 83–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Air Force279 | W 66–62 |
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
