Model line
North Carolina −32.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Carolina >99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
North Carolina home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes North Carolina a 32.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wofford offense vs North Carolina defense
| Wofford O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#181 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 52.5#127 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 13.4#14 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 29.8#214 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 36.2#146 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 9.5#193 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 51.2#214 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 52.5#150 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 35.0#125 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 70.9#243 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#113 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
North Carolina offense vs Wofford defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Wofford D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #18168.4 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #29453.8 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #30214.9 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #10729.0 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #23136.8 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #2238.6 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #12850.6 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #25153.4 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #32236.4 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #23738.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wofford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 72–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | The Citadel325 | L 90–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | East Tennessee St.175 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Furman147 | L 67–76 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | VMI344 | W 82–76 |
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
