Model line
Penn −13.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn 91%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Penn home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Penn a 13.0-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
American offense vs Penn defense
| American O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#254 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 51.5#170 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 15.6#109 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 26.9#299 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 28.7#334 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 10.0#234 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 49.5#254 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 53.3#113 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 33.0#226 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 75.8#54 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#37 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Penn offense vs American defense
| Penn O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #25466.7 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #31054.4 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #4019.2 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #12629.4 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #32342.1 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #3624.4 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #21653.7 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #31155.1 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #27735.5 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #25837.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
American
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University309 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University309 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh265 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette332 | W 75–61 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Bucknell335 | W 75–57 |
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
