Model line
Maryland −24.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Maryland 100%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Maryland home
1%Win probability100%
The model makes Maryland a 24.5-point favorite, winning about 100 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
American offense vs Maryland defense
| American O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#254 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 51.5#170 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 15.6#109 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 26.9#299 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 28.7#334 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 10.0#234 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 49.5#254 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 53.3#113 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 33.0#226 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 75.8#54 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#37 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Maryland offense vs American defense
| Maryland O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #25466.7 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #31054.4 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #4019.2 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #12629.4 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #32342.1 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #3624.4 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #21653.7 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #31155.1 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #27735.5 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #25837.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
American
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University309 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University309 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh265 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette332 | W 75–61 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Bucknell335 | W 75–57 |
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
