Model line
American −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
American 59%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
American home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes American a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Harvard offense vs American defense
| Harvard O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9#357 | Tempo | #25466.7 |
| 53.2#93 | eFG% | #31054.4 |
| 17.4#227 | TOV% | #4019.2 |
| 26.8#303 | ORB% | #12629.4 |
| 25.7#359 | FT rate | #32342.1 |
| 7.4#24 | Block% | #3624.4 |
| 56.1#87 | Assist% | #21653.7 |
| 54.0#85 | 2P% | #31155.1 |
| 34.7#137 | 3P% | #27735.5 |
| 80.8#1 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#166 | 3PA rate | #25837.0 |
American offense vs Harvard defense
| American O | Stat | Harvard D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#254 | Tempo | #35763.9 |
| 51.5#170 | eFG% | #12150.4 |
| 15.6#109 | TOV% | #13817.1 |
| 26.9#299 | ORB% | #7328.2 |
| 28.7#334 | FT rate | #1726.6 |
| 10.0#234 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 49.5#254 | Assist% | #16351.7 |
| 53.3#113 | 2P% | #15951.4 |
| 33.0#226 | 3P% | #9232.6 |
| 75.8#54 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#37 | 3PA rate | #21138.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Harvard
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Penn123 | L 60–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Columbia202 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Penn123 | L 61–64 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Princeton155 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Cornell196 | W 73–54 |
American
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University309 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University309 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh265 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette332 | W 75–61 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Bucknell335 | W 75–57 |
