Model line
Cincinnati −28.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati >99%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Cincinnati a 28.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
American offense vs Cincinnati defense
| American O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#254 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 51.5#170 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 15.6#109 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 26.9#299 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 28.7#334 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 10.0#234 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 49.5#254 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 53.3#113 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 33.0#226 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 75.8#54 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#37 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs American defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #25466.7 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #31054.4 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #4019.2 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #12629.4 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #32342.1 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #3624.4 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #21653.7 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #31155.1 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #27735.5 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #25837.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
American
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University309 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University309 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh265 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette332 | W 75–61 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Bucknell335 | W 75–57 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
