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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Louisiana Tech · #282 · SB · 0–0Arkansas St. · #186 · SB · 0–0Fri, Feb 26 · 8:30 PM ETFirst National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR
Model line
Arkansas St. −11.7
Win probability
Arkansas St. 89%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes Arkansas St. a 11.7-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Louisiana Tech offense vs Arkansas St. defense

Louisiana Tech OStatArkansas St. D
64.7#337Tempo#1572.5
47.4#330eFG%#11550.3
18.3#287TOV%#29214.9
36.4#20ORB%#3727.0
33.1#233FT rate#23537.0
10.2#252Block%#2967.3
48.0#287Assist%#15351.4
49.7#2652P%#12750.8
28.5#3593P%#10932.9
67.2#342FT%—
33.4#3103PA rate#20738.8

Arkansas St. offense vs Louisiana Tech defense

Arkansas St. OStatLouisiana Tech D
72.5#15Tempo#33764.7
51.7#161eFG%#5248.7
19.8#343TOV%#10817.8
38.2#7ORB%#23231.6
39.1#79FT rate#22136.3
10.2#251Block%#515.7
55.8#94Assist%#27455.8
53.6#992P%#2246.7
32.9#2353P%#17333.9
73.3#157FT%—
44.9#693PA rate#1446.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Louisiana Tech

Sat, Mar 14NKennesaw St.146L 60–71
Fri, Mar 13NMissouri St.263W 69–66
Thu, Mar 12NMiddle Tennessee160W 80–69
Sat, Mar 7ADelaware258W 81–38
Thu, Mar 5ALiberty149W 76–71

Arkansas St.

Thu, Mar 5NGeorgia Southern307L 77–80
Fri, Feb 27HLouisiana215W 81–58
Tue, Feb 24HSouthern Miss236W 89–84
Sat, Feb 21ALouisiana Monroe341W 102–94
Thu, Feb 19ALouisiana215W 79–62