Model line
Arkansas St. −11.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Arkansas St. a 11.7-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Louisiana Tech O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#337 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 47.4#330 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 18.3#287 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 36.4#20 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 33.1#233 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 10.2#252 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 48.0#287 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 49.7#265 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 28.5#359 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 67.2#342 | FT% | — |
| 33.4#310 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Louisiana Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #33764.7 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #5248.7 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #10817.8 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #23231.6 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #22136.3 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #515.7 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #27455.8 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #2246.7 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #17333.9 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #1446.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 60–71 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Missouri St.263 | W 69–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Middle Tennessee160 | W 80–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Delaware258 | W 81–38 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Liberty149 | W 76–71 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |