Model line
Marshall −2.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marshall 58%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Marshall home
42%Win probability58%
The model makes Marshall a 2.0-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Troy offense vs Marshall defense
| Troy O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Marshall offense vs Troy defense
| Marshall O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
