Model line
Southern Miss −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Southern Miss 70%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Southern Miss home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Southern Miss a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs Southern Miss defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Southern Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #11169.6 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #18051.4 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #10917.8 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #9528.8 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #34343.6 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #11510.5 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #4847.0 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #15151.1 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #22034.5 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #18739.4 |
Southern Miss offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Southern Miss O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#111 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 49.0#289 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 18.4#292 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 32.5#107 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 43.2#19 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 10.7#286 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 43.8#347 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 51.3#201 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 28.9#356 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 73.6#150 | FT% | — |
| 28.7#358 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
Southern Miss
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Troy152 | L 70–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Appalachian St.234 | W 86–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Texas St.113 | W 81–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | James Madison143 | W 86–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | South Alabama244 | W 68–55 |
