Model line
Troy −11.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 88%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Troy home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Troy a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Miss offense vs Troy defense
| Southern Miss O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#111 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 49.0#289 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 18.4#292 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 32.5#107 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 43.2#19 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 10.7#286 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 43.8#347 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 51.3#201 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 28.9#356 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 73.6#150 | FT% | — |
| 28.7#358 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs Southern Miss defense
| Troy O | Stat | Southern Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #11169.6 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #18051.4 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #10917.8 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #9528.8 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #34343.6 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #11510.5 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #4847.0 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #15151.1 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #22034.5 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #18739.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Miss
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Troy152 | L 70–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Appalachian St.234 | W 86–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Texas St.113 | W 81–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | James Madison143 | W 86–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | South Alabama244 | W 68–55 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
