Model line
Arkansas St. −2.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 61%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Louisiana Monroe home
61%Win probability39%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 2.6-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs Louisiana Monroe defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Louisiana Monroe D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #6470.7 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #35857.1 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #23715.7 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #34435.4 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #3127.7 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2128.7 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #31958.1 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #35558.4 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #34336.9 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #8942.3 |
Louisiana Monroe offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Louisiana Monroe O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#64 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 47.8#318 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 16.9#192 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 25.1#339 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 38.8#82 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 11.7#331 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 50.2#238 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 47.4#327 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 32.2#270 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 72.7#178 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#136 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
Louisiana Monroe
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Old Dominion218 | L 80–87 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Troy152 | L 65–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | South Alabama244 | L 54–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Arkansas St.186 | L 94–102 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Troy152 | L 76–77 |
