Model line
Louisiana −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisiana 73%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Louisiana home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Louisiana a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs Louisiana defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #35464.1 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #24652.6 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #8418.3 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #27232.3 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #35245.8 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #9710.8 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #10449.7 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #20852.2 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #28935.6 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #28136.2 |
Louisiana offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Louisiana O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#354 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 47.1#335 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 16.8#182 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 28.3#255 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 28.7#335 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 8.0#57 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 45.9#318 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 44.8#356 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 33.6#191 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 70.4#257 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#157 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
Louisiana
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | James Madison143 | L 72–87 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Georgia St.205 | W 84–75 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Arkansas St.186 | L 58–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Troy152 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Texas St.113 | W 67–54 |
