Model line
Troy −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 86%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Troy home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Troy a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisiana offense vs Troy defense
| Louisiana O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#354 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 47.1#335 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 16.8#182 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 28.3#255 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 28.7#335 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 8.0#57 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 45.9#318 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 44.8#356 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 33.6#191 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 70.4#257 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#157 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs Louisiana defense
| Troy O | Stat | Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #35464.1 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #24652.6 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #8418.3 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #27232.3 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #35245.8 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #9710.8 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #10449.7 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #20852.2 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #28935.6 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #28136.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisiana
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | James Madison143 | L 72–87 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Georgia St.205 | W 84–75 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Arkansas St.186 | L 58–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Troy152 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Texas St.113 | W 67–54 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
