Model line
South Alabama −3.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Alabama 64%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
South Alabama home
37%Win probability64%
The model makes South Alabama a 3.3-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs South Alabama defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | South Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #31065.7 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #10650.1 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #9318.1 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #22131.4 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #925.4 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #12510.3 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #36471.1 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #13250.8 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #12933.1 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #164.6 |
South Alabama offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| South Alabama O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#310 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 52.6#121 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 13.0#8 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 25.0#341 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 38.5#90 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 11.3#323 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 45.9#320 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 53.2#123 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 34.5#151 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 65.5#357 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#239 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
South Alabama
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Auburn27 | L 67–78 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 85–94 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Southern Miss236 | L 55–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 89–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Troy152 | W 65–54 |
