Model line
Marshall −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marshall 73%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Marshall home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Marshall a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Appalachian St. offense vs Marshall defense
| Appalachian St. O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#352 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 49.9#238 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 15.3#84 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 32.0#122 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 39.1#78 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 8.8#128 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 47.8#292 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 53.6#98 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 30.4#335 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 64.5#362 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#47 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Marshall offense vs Appalachian St. defense
| Marshall O | Stat | Appalachian St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #35264.1 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #3147.5 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #33414.0 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #9929.0 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #8731.2 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #12710.2 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #13450.8 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #2747.0 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #7032.2 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #11241.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Appalachian St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Merrimack211 | W 63–49 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 73–86 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Texas St.113 | L 57–60 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 89–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Marshall241 | L 93–94 |
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
