Model line
Troy −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 87%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Troy home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Troy a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Alabama offense vs Troy defense
| South Alabama O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#310 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 52.6#121 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 13.0#8 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 25.0#341 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 38.5#90 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 11.3#323 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 45.9#320 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 53.2#123 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 34.5#151 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 65.5#357 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#239 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs South Alabama defense
| Troy O | Stat | South Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #31065.7 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #10650.1 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #9318.1 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #22131.4 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #925.4 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #12510.3 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #36471.1 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #13250.8 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #12933.1 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #164.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Alabama
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Auburn27 | L 67–78 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 85–94 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Southern Miss236 | L 55–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 89–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Troy152 | W 65–54 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
