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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Troy · #152 · SB · 0–0Louisiana · #215 · SB · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 5:00 PM ETCajundome · Lafayette, LA
Model line
Louisiana −3.2
Win probability
Louisiana 63%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Louisiana home
37%Win probability63%

The model makes Louisiana a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Troy offense vs Louisiana defense

Troy OStatLouisiana D
66.8#253Tempo#35464.1
51.5#173eFG%#24652.6
17.3#224TOV%#8418.3
34.6#58ORB%#27232.3
36.2#145FT rate#35245.8
10.9#296Block%#9710.8
57.5#64Assist%#10449.7
53.2#1252P%#20852.2
33.0#2323P%#28935.6
74.2#122FT%—
45.9#493PA rate#28136.2

Louisiana offense vs Troy defense

Louisiana OStatTroy D
64.1#354Tempo#25366.8
47.1#335eFG%#11350.2
16.8#182TOV%#17516.7
28.3#255ORB%#24331.7
28.7#335FT rate#9531.4
8.0#57Block%#2039.0
45.9#318Assist%#11450.0
44.8#3562P%#19652.0
33.6#1913P%#5231.6
70.4#257FT%—
40.5#1573PA rate#19439.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Troy

Thu, Mar 19NNebraska19L 47–76
Mon, Mar 9NGeorgia Southern307W 77–61
Sun, Mar 8NSouthern Miss236W 78–70
Fri, Feb 27HLouisiana Monroe341W 80–65
Tue, Feb 24HLouisiana215W 78–59

Louisiana

Wed, Mar 4NJames Madison143L 72–87
Tue, Mar 3NGeorgia St.205W 84–75
Fri, Feb 27AArkansas St.186L 58–81
Tue, Feb 24ATroy152L 59–78
Sat, Feb 21HTexas St.113W 67–54