Model line
Old Dominion −6.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Old Dominion 74%
Projected tempo
72.5
possessions
Site
Old Dominion home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Old Dominion a 6.1-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs Old Dominion defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Old Dominion D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #8170.3 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #14650.8 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #32014.5 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #17830.3 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #32142.0 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2568.1 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #15651.4 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #21652.4 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #6432.0 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #27836.4 |
Old Dominion offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Old Dominion O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#81 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 50.7#203 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 15.4#100 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 26.0#322 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 34.7#192 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 11.1#309 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 49.0#265 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 48.8#287 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 36.0#59 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 73.3#159 | FT% | — |
| 36.2#244 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
Old Dominion
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 87–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Georgia St.205 | W 81–73 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Marshall241 | L 88–97 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Southern Miss236 | L 81–86 |
