Model line
Troy −0.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 53%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Louisiana Tech home
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Troy a 0.7-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Troy offense vs Louisiana Tech defense
| Troy O | Stat | Louisiana Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #33764.7 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #5248.7 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #10817.8 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #23231.6 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #22136.3 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #515.7 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #27455.8 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #2246.7 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #17333.9 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #1446.8 |
Louisiana Tech offense vs Troy defense
| Louisiana Tech O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#337 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 47.4#330 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 18.3#287 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 36.4#20 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 33.1#233 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 10.2#252 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 48.0#287 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 49.7#265 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 28.5#359 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 67.2#342 | FT% | — |
| 33.4#310 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
Louisiana Tech
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 60–71 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Missouri St.263 | W 69–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Middle Tennessee160 | W 80–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Delaware258 | W 81–38 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Liberty149 | W 76–71 |
