Model line
Arkansas St. −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 86%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia St. offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Georgia St. O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#158 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 44.2#362 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 15.9#131 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 27.7#278 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 37.2#123 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 8.7#121 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 50.6#228 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 42.9#365 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 30.6#331 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 78.6#11 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#129 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Arkansas St. offense vs Georgia St. defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Georgia St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #15868.8 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #13350.6 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #19416.4 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #30833.6 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #17634.9 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2438.3 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #15551.4 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #15351.2 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #12333.1 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #19939.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia St.
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Louisiana215 | L 75–84 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Old Dominion218 | L 73–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Coastal Carolina240 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | James Madison143 | L 65–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 66–64 |
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
