Model line
Troy −15.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 95%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Troy home
6%Win probability95%
The model makes Troy a 15.2-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia Southern offense vs Troy defense
| Georgia Southern O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#47 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 51.4#176 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 14.6#46 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 28.8#239 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 39.6#64 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 9.2#157 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 41.1#356 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 52.7#140 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 33.4#201 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 74.3#111 | FT% | — |
| 48.9#20 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs Georgia Southern defense
| Troy O | Stat | Georgia Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #4771.1 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #23052.3 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #6318.7 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #34235.2 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #31641.4 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #1449.9 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #3946.4 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #23252.9 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #19934.3 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #17939.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia Southern
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Troy152 | L 61–77 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marshall241 | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Coastal Carolina240 | W 96–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Alabama244 | W 94–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Arkansas St.186 | W 80–77 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
