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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Georgia Southern · #307 · SB · 0–0South Alabama · #244 · SB · 0–0Thu, Jan 7 · 8:00 PM ETMitchell Center · Mobile, AL
Model line
South Alabama −10.5
Win probability
South Alabama 87%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
South Alabama home
14%Win probability87%

The model makes South Alabama a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Georgia Southern offense vs South Alabama defense

Georgia Southern OStatSouth Alabama D
71.1#47Tempo#31065.7
51.4#176eFG%#10650.1
14.6#46TOV%#9318.1
28.8#239ORB%#22131.4
39.6#64FT rate#925.4
9.2#157Block%#12510.3
41.1#356Assist%#36471.1
52.7#1402P%#13250.8
33.4#2013P%#12933.1
74.3#111FT%—
48.9#203PA rate#164.6

South Alabama offense vs Georgia Southern defense

South Alabama OStatGeorgia Southern D
65.7#310Tempo#4771.1
52.6#121eFG%#23052.3
13.0#8TOV%#6318.7
25.0#341ORB%#34235.2
38.5#90FT rate#31641.4
11.3#323Block%#1449.9
45.9#320Assist%#3946.4
53.2#1232P%#23252.9
34.5#1513P%#19934.3
65.5#357FT%—
36.5#2393PA rate#17939.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Georgia Southern

Mon, Mar 9NTroy152L 61–77
Sun, Mar 8NMarshall241W 82–78
Sat, Mar 7NCoastal Carolina240W 96–72
Fri, Mar 6NSouth Alabama244W 94–85
Thu, Mar 5NArkansas St.186W 80–77

South Alabama

Tue, Mar 17AAuburn27L 67–78
Fri, Mar 6NGeorgia Southern307L 85–94
Fri, Feb 27HSouthern Miss236L 55–68
Wed, Feb 25HLouisiana Monroe341W 89–54
Sat, Feb 21HTroy152W 65–54