Model line
Arkansas St. −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 84%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
17%Win probability84%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Appalachian St. offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Appalachian St. O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#352 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 49.9#238 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 15.3#84 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 32.0#122 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 39.1#78 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 8.8#128 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 47.8#292 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 53.6#98 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 30.4#335 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 64.5#362 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#47 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Arkansas St. offense vs Appalachian St. defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Appalachian St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #35264.1 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #3147.5 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #33414.0 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #9929.0 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #8731.2 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #12710.2 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #13450.8 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #2747.0 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #7032.2 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #11241.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Appalachian St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Merrimack211 | W 63–49 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 73–86 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Texas St.113 | L 57–60 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 89–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Marshall241 | L 93–94 |
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
