Model line
Troy −6.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 75%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Troy home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Troy a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia St. offense vs Troy defense
| Georgia St. O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#120 | Tempo | #17568.4 |
| 52.3#101 | eFG% | #10248.5 |
| 14.1#52 | TOV% | #10119.0 |
| 18.9#226 | ORB% | #17736.4 |
| 18.8#218 | FT rate | #5023.1 |
| 3.4#40 | Block% | #2262.4 |
| 57.7#90 | Assist% | #14957.1 |
| 37.9#217 | 2P% | #11651.2 |
| 42.9#36 | 3P% | #9429.2 |
| 50.0#227 | FT% | — |
| 54.7#23 | 3PA rate | #16736.9 |
Troy offense vs Georgia St. defense
| Troy O | Stat | Georgia St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#175 | Tempo | #12071.0 |
| 39.8#217 | eFG% | #17756.4 |
| 13.2#35 | TOV% | #11518.3 |
| 27.9#152 | ORB% | #16234.4 |
| 21.9#201 | FT rate | #18947.3 |
| 27.8#240 | Block% | #8411.8 |
| 45.5#182 | Assist% | #5544.4 |
| 41.7#198 | 2P% | #15155.9 |
| 25.0#187 | 3P% | #17838.1 |
| 64.3#154 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #15338.2 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Bowling Green180 | L 73–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Louisiana241 | L 75–84 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Old Dominion175 | L 73–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Coastal Carolina255 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | James Madison168 | L 65–80 |
Troy
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Massachusetts143 | L 60–71 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska11 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern270 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss224 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
