Model line
Marshall −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marshall 66%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
Marshall home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Marshall a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs Marshall defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Marshall offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Marshall O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
