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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Troy · #152 · SB · 0–0James Madison · #143 · SB · 0–0Sat, Jan 2 · 2:00 PM ETAtlantic Union Bank Center · Harrisonburg, VA
Model line
James Madison −7.1
Win probability
James Madison 77%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
James Madison home
23%Win probability77%

The model makes James Madison a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Troy offense vs James Madison defense

Troy OStatJames Madison D
66.8#253Tempo#24567.0
51.5#173eFG%#6749.0
17.3#224TOV%#36012.8
34.6#58ORB%#13229.5
36.2#145FT rate#30940.8
10.9#296Block%#7211.3
57.5#64Assist%#2845.5
53.2#1252P%#6148.9
33.0#2323P%#9832.7
74.2#122FT%—
45.9#493PA rate#22538.2

James Madison offense vs Troy defense

James Madison OStatTroy D
67.0#245Tempo#25366.8
53.1#97eFG%#11350.2
17.3#222TOV%#17516.7
30.6#178ORB%#24331.7
35.9#154FT rate#9531.4
11.1#308Block%#2039.0
48.3#279Assist%#11450.0
53.2#1202P%#19652.0
35.4#953P%#5231.6
70.3#264FT%—
42.5#1263PA rate#19439.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Troy

Thu, Mar 19NNebraska19L 47–76
Mon, Mar 9NGeorgia Southern307W 77–61
Sun, Mar 8NSouthern Miss236W 78–70
Fri, Feb 27HLouisiana Monroe341W 80–65
Tue, Feb 24HLouisiana215W 78–59

James Madison

Thu, Mar 5NSouthern Miss236L 80–86
Wed, Mar 4NLouisiana215W 87–72
Fri, Feb 27HCoastal Carolina240L 68–69
Wed, Feb 25HGeorgia Southern307W 82–66
Sat, Feb 21AGeorgia St.205W 80–65