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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

South Alabama · #244 · SB · 0–0Appalachian St. · #234 · SB · 1–0Sat, Jan 2 · 1:00 PM ETHolmes Convocation Center · Boone, NC
Model line
Appalachian St. −7.1
Win probability
Appalachian St. 77%
Projected tempo
67.7
possessions
Site
Appalachian St. home
23%Win probability77%

The model makes Appalachian St. a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

South Alabama offense vs Appalachian St. defense

South Alabama OStatAppalachian St. D
65.7#310Tempo#35264.1
52.6#121eFG%#3147.5
13.0#8TOV%#33414.0
25.0#341ORB%#9929.0
38.5#90FT rate#8731.2
11.3#323Block%#12710.2
45.9#320Assist%#13450.8
53.2#1232P%#2747.0
34.5#1513P%#7032.2
65.5#357FT%—
36.5#2393PA rate#11241.4

Appalachian St. offense vs South Alabama defense

Appalachian St. OStatSouth Alabama D
64.1#352Tempo#31065.7
49.9#238eFG%#10650.1
15.3#84TOV%#9318.1
32.0#122ORB%#22131.4
39.1#78FT rate#925.4
8.8#128Block%#12510.3
47.8#292Assist%#36471.1
53.6#982P%#13250.8
30.4#3353P%#12933.1
64.5#362FT%—
45.9#473PA rate#164.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

South Alabama

Tue, Mar 17AAuburn27L 67–78
Fri, Mar 6NGeorgia Southern307L 85–94
Fri, Feb 27HSouthern Miss236L 55–68
Wed, Feb 25HLouisiana Monroe341W 89–54
Sat, Feb 21HTroy152W 65–54

Appalachian St.

Mon, Nov 2NMerrimack211W 63–49
Sat, Mar 7NSouthern Miss236L 73–86
Fri, Feb 27ATexas St.113L 57–60
Sat, Feb 21HGeorgia Southern307W 89–74
Thu, Feb 19HMarshall241L 93–94