Model line
Marshall −8.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marshall 82%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Marshall home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Marshall a 8.7-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Alabama offense vs Marshall defense
| South Alabama O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#310 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 52.6#121 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 13.0#8 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 25.0#341 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 38.5#90 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 11.3#323 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 45.9#320 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 53.2#123 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 34.5#151 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 65.5#357 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#239 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Marshall offense vs South Alabama defense
| Marshall O | Stat | South Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #31065.7 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #10650.1 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #9318.1 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #22131.4 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #925.4 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #12510.3 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #36471.1 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #13250.8 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #12933.1 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #164.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Alabama
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Auburn27 | L 67–78 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 85–94 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Southern Miss236 | L 55–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 89–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Troy152 | W 65–54 |
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
