Model line
James Madison −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
James Madison 85%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
James Madison home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes James Madison a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs James Madison defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | James Madison D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #24567.0 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #6749.0 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #36012.8 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #13229.5 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #30940.8 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #7211.3 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #2845.5 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #6148.9 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #9832.7 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #22538.2 |
James Madison offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| James Madison O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#245 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 53.1#97 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 17.3#222 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 30.6#178 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 35.9#154 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 11.1#308 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 48.3#279 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 53.2#120 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 35.4#95 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 70.3#264 | FT% | — |
| 42.5#126 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
James Madison
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 80–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Louisiana215 | W 87–72 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Coastal Carolina240 | L 68–69 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 82–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Georgia St.205 | W 80–65 |
