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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Southern Miss · #236 · SB · 0–0Georgia St. · #205 · SB · 0–0Thu, Dec 31 · 1:00 PM ETESPN+GSU Convocation Center · Atlanta, GA
Model line
Georgia St. −8.6
Win probability
Georgia St. 82%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Georgia St. home
18%Win probability82%

The model makes Georgia St. a 8.6-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Southern Miss offense vs Georgia St. defense

Southern Miss OStatGeorgia St. D
69.6#111Tempo#15868.8
49.0#289eFG%#13350.6
18.4#292TOV%#19416.4
32.5#107ORB%#30833.6
43.2#19FT rate#17634.9
10.7#286Block%#2438.3
43.8#347Assist%#15551.4
51.3#2012P%#15351.2
28.9#3563P%#12333.1
73.6#150FT%—
28.7#3583PA rate#19939.0

Georgia St. offense vs Southern Miss defense

Georgia St. OStatSouthern Miss D
68.8#158Tempo#11169.6
44.2#362eFG%#18051.4
15.9#131TOV%#10917.8
27.7#278ORB%#9528.8
37.2#123FT rate#34343.6
8.7#121Block%#11510.5
50.6#228Assist%#4847.0
42.9#3652P%#15151.1
30.6#3313P%#22034.5
78.6#11FT%—
42.4#1293PA rate#18739.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Southern Miss

Sun, Mar 8NTroy152L 70–78
Sat, Mar 7NAppalachian St.234W 86–73
Fri, Mar 6NTexas St.113W 81–77
Thu, Mar 5NJames Madison143W 86–80
Fri, Feb 27ASouth Alabama244W 68–55

Georgia St.

Tue, Mar 3NLouisiana215L 75–84
Fri, Feb 27HOld Dominion218L 73–81
Tue, Feb 24HCoastal Carolina240L 71–76
Sat, Feb 21HJames Madison143L 65–80
Thu, Feb 19HGeorgia Southern307W 66–64