Model line
Appalachian St. −3.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Appalachian St. 63%
Projected tempo
68.4
possessions
Site
Appalachian St. home
38%Win probability63%
The model makes Appalachian St. a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Troy offense vs Appalachian St. defense
| Troy O | Stat | Appalachian St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #35264.1 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #3147.5 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #33414.0 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #9929.0 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #8731.2 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #12710.2 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #13450.8 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #2747.0 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #7032.2 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #11241.4 |
Appalachian St. offense vs Troy defense
| Appalachian St. O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#352 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 49.9#238 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 15.3#84 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 32.0#122 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 39.1#78 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 8.8#128 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 47.8#292 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 53.6#98 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 30.4#335 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 64.5#362 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#47 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
Appalachian St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Merrimack211 | W 63–49 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 73–86 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Texas St.113 | L 57–60 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 89–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Marshall241 | L 93–94 |
