Model line
Arkansas St. −13.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 92%
Projected tempo
73.1
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia Southern offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Georgia Southern O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#47 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 51.4#176 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 14.6#46 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 28.8#239 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 39.6#64 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 9.2#157 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 41.1#356 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 52.7#140 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 33.4#201 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 74.3#111 | FT% | — |
| 48.9#20 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Arkansas St. offense vs Georgia Southern defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Georgia Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #4771.1 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #23052.3 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #6318.7 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #34235.2 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #31641.4 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #1449.9 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #3946.4 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #23252.9 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #19934.3 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #17939.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia Southern
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Troy152 | L 61–77 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marshall241 | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Coastal Carolina240 | W 96–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Alabama244 | W 94–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Arkansas St.186 | W 80–77 |
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
