Model line
Troy −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 88%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Troy home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Troy a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Coastal Carolina offense vs Troy defense
| Coastal Carolina O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#184 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 47.9#314 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 15.2#78 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 26.9#300 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 32.3#253 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 7.6#34 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 40.4#359 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 46.1#347 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 33.5#195 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 73.1#165 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#110 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs Coastal Carolina defense
| Troy O | Stat | Coastal Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #18468.3 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #1846.8 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #36412.3 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #5127.6 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #17534.9 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #2508.1 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #137.7 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #1045.5 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #10532.8 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #29935.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Coastal Carolina
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 72–96 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | James Madison143 | W 69–68 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Georgia St.205 | W 76–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Marshall241 | W 79–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | James Madison143 | L 65–67 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
