Model line
Troy −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 70%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Troy home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Troy a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisiana Tech offense vs Troy defense
| Louisiana Tech O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#185 | Tempo | #17568.4 |
| 59.3#45 | eFG% | #10248.5 |
| 13.3#37 | TOV% | #10119.0 |
| 31.2#118 | ORB% | #17736.4 |
| 55.6#30 | FT rate | #5023.1 |
| 0.0#3 | Block% | #2262.4 |
| 67.9#44 | Assist% | #14957.1 |
| 62.5#47 | 2P% | #11651.2 |
| 36.4#85 | 3P% | #9429.2 |
| 70.0#113 | FT% | — |
| 40.7#121 | 3PA rate | #16736.9 |
Troy offense vs Louisiana Tech defense
| Troy O | Stat | Louisiana Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#175 | Tempo | #18567.9 |
| 39.8#217 | eFG% | #3641.2 |
| 13.2#35 | TOV% | #23610.3 |
| 27.9#152 | ORB% | #21743.4 |
| 21.9#201 | FT rate | #8429.7 |
| 27.8#240 | Block% | #2322.2 |
| 45.5#182 | Assist% | #1833.3 |
| 41.7#198 | 2P% | #5543.5 |
| 25.0#187 | 3P% | #5925.0 |
| 64.3#154 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #15937.8 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisiana Tech
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Kent St.157 | W 85–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Kennesaw St.142 | L 60–71 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Missouri St.238 | W 69–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Middle Tennessee156 | W 80–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Delaware234 | W 81–38 |
Troy
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Massachusetts143 | L 60–71 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska11 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern270 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss224 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
