Model line
Western Carolina −0.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Carolina 54%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
The Citadel home
54%Win probability46%
The model makes Western Carolina a 0.9-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Carolina offense vs The Citadel defense
| Western Carolina O | Stat | The Citadel D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#162 | Tempo | #33464.8 |
| 50.4#225 | eFG% | #36157.5 |
| 16.8#189 | TOV% | #31114.7 |
| 35.4#39 | ORB% | #22831.5 |
| 31.3#275 | FT rate | #13533.3 |
| 7.7#46 | Block% | #2737.8 |
| 44.3#344 | Assist% | #17552.2 |
| 50.6#232 | 2P% | #36359.6 |
| 33.5#197 | 3P% | #33536.6 |
| 71.4#228 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#149 | 3PA rate | #4444.1 |
The Citadel offense vs Western Carolina defense
| The Citadel O | Stat | Western Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8#334 | Tempo | #16268.8 |
| 49.5#269 | eFG% | #32854.9 |
| 16.3#157 | TOV% | #32314.5 |
| 27.9#272 | ORB% | #2326.3 |
| 30.0#312 | FT rate | #25737.8 |
| 10.7#288 | Block% | #3047.3 |
| 50.6#231 | Assist% | #7048.1 |
| 51.0#214 | 2P% | #30754.8 |
| 32.0#282 | 3P% | #33836.7 |
| 66.5#349 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#27 | 3PA rate | #5143.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 67–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mercer227 | W 77–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Furman147 | W 86–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Mercer227 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | VMI344 | W 81–62 |
The Citadel
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 76–83 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Chattanooga274 | W 88–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wofford276 | W 93–90 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Furman147 | L 51–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Chattanooga274 | L 72–93 |
