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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

East Tennessee St. · #175 · SC · 0–0Chattanooga · #274 · SC · 0–0Wed, Feb 3 · 7:00 PM ETMcKenzie Arena · Chattanooga, TN
Model line
Chattanooga −1.1
Win probability
Chattanooga 55%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Chattanooga home
45%Win probability55%

The model makes Chattanooga a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

East Tennessee St. offense vs Chattanooga defense

East Tennessee St. OStatChattanooga D
66.5#266Tempo#21867.6
55.3#34eFG%#19451.7
15.2#79TOV%#35013.2
28.3#253ORB%#23931.7
35.0#179FT rate#33242.6
7.5#28Block%#2817.6
50.8#224Assist%#20853.3
57.2#282P%#19952.1
34.7#1353P%#19534.2
74.7#93FT%—
37.8#2163PA rate#4144.2

Chattanooga offense vs East Tennessee St. defense

Chattanooga OStatEast Tennessee St. D
67.6#218Tempo#26666.5
54.2#60eFG%#15751.0
14.4#37TOV%#7118.5
21.8#357ORB%#6427.9
29.7#317FT rate#22436.4
7.7#37Block%#6511.5
55.6#97Assist%#25855.2
55.8#452P%#22252.6
35.0#1123P%#11132.9
77.4#26FT%—
49.2#183PA rate#847.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

East Tennessee St.

Mon, Mar 9NFurman147L 61–76
Sun, Mar 8NWestern Carolina184W 69–67
Sat, Mar 7NThe Citadel325W 83–76
Sat, Feb 28AMercer227L 76–82
Wed, Feb 25HWofford276L 69–72

Chattanooga

Fri, Mar 6NThe Citadel325L 85–88
Sat, Feb 28HVMI344W 86–79
Thu, Feb 26HUNC Greensboro289L 80–85
Sat, Feb 21AThe Citadel325W 93–72
Thu, Feb 19AMercer227W 94–90