Model line
Chattanooga −1.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Chattanooga 57%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Chattanooga home
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Chattanooga a 1.6-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Carolina offense vs Chattanooga defense
| Western Carolina O | Stat | Chattanooga D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#162 | Tempo | #21867.6 |
| 50.4#225 | eFG% | #19451.7 |
| 16.8#189 | TOV% | #35013.2 |
| 35.4#39 | ORB% | #23931.7 |
| 31.3#275 | FT rate | #33242.6 |
| 7.7#46 | Block% | #2817.6 |
| 44.3#344 | Assist% | #20853.3 |
| 50.6#232 | 2P% | #19952.1 |
| 33.5#197 | 3P% | #19534.2 |
| 71.4#228 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#149 | 3PA rate | #4144.2 |
Chattanooga offense vs Western Carolina defense
| Chattanooga O | Stat | Western Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#218 | Tempo | #16268.8 |
| 54.2#60 | eFG% | #32854.9 |
| 14.4#37 | TOV% | #32314.5 |
| 21.8#357 | ORB% | #2326.3 |
| 29.7#317 | FT rate | #25737.8 |
| 7.7#37 | Block% | #3047.3 |
| 55.6#97 | Assist% | #7048.1 |
| 55.8#45 | 2P% | #30754.8 |
| 35.0#112 | 3P% | #33836.7 |
| 77.4#26 | FT% | — |
| 49.2#18 | 3PA rate | #5143.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 67–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mercer227 | W 77–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Furman147 | W 86–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Mercer227 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | VMI344 | W 81–62 |
Chattanooga
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | The Citadel325 | L 85–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | VMI344 | W 86–79 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | L 80–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | The Citadel325 | W 93–72 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Mercer227 | W 94–90 |
