Model line
East Tennessee St. −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Tennessee St. 89%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
East Tennessee St. home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes East Tennessee St. a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chattanooga offense vs East Tennessee St. defense
| Chattanooga O | Stat | East Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#218 | Tempo | #26666.5 |
| 54.2#60 | eFG% | #15751.0 |
| 14.4#37 | TOV% | #7118.5 |
| 21.8#357 | ORB% | #6427.9 |
| 29.7#317 | FT rate | #22436.4 |
| 7.7#37 | Block% | #6511.5 |
| 55.6#97 | Assist% | #25855.2 |
| 55.8#45 | 2P% | #22252.6 |
| 35.0#112 | 3P% | #11132.9 |
| 77.4#26 | FT% | — |
| 49.2#18 | 3PA rate | #847.7 |
East Tennessee St. offense vs Chattanooga defense
| East Tennessee St. O | Stat | Chattanooga D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#266 | Tempo | #21867.6 |
| 55.3#34 | eFG% | #19451.7 |
| 15.2#79 | TOV% | #35013.2 |
| 28.3#253 | ORB% | #23931.7 |
| 35.0#179 | FT rate | #33242.6 |
| 7.5#28 | Block% | #2817.6 |
| 50.8#224 | Assist% | #20853.3 |
| 57.2#28 | 2P% | #19952.1 |
| 34.7#135 | 3P% | #19534.2 |
| 74.7#93 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#216 | 3PA rate | #4144.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chattanooga
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | The Citadel325 | L 85–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | VMI344 | W 86–79 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | L 80–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | The Citadel325 | W 93–72 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Mercer227 | W 94–90 |
East Tennessee St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Furman147 | L 61–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Western Carolina184 | W 69–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | The Citadel325 | W 83–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mercer227 | L 76–82 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wofford276 | L 69–72 |
